After Four Years of Trump, Some Scientists Are Treading Into Politics

Source: By Leslie Kaufman, Bloomberg • Posted: Tuesday, February 16, 2021

The Lancet released a report attributing 22,000 deaths in 2019 to the former president’s regulatory rollbacks, and other journals have also weighed in on policy.

The March for Science on Earth Day 2017 drew roughly a million people across the globe.

The March for Science on Earth Day 2017 drew roughly a million people across the globe. Photographer: Jessica Kourkounis/Getty Images

Last week, The Lancet, the well-respected British medical journal, published a report excoriating the Trump administration for leveraging racism and class anxiety to push environmental policies that killed tens of thousands of people.

Not long ago such an article would have been an outlier. Although political conservatives in the U.S. have waged a war on science going back to evolution in the classroom, the vast majority of scientists—and scientific journals—made it a point not to fight back directly. Many thought their research would speak for itself and that their neutrality enhanced their legitimacy.

But the last four years have brought a tide of change, said Gretchen Goldman, a research director at the Union of Concerned Scientists, “reflecting both the severity of what Trump did as well as the changing willingness of the scientific community to engage in policy conversations.” Among the things that most inflamed scientists was Trump’s rejection of the wide body of research establishing climate change, which he has called a hoax. But the Trump administration’s removal of independent scientists from advisory panels at the Environmental Protection Agency also pushed scientists to take action. Similarly motivating was a rule severely curtailing which scientific studies could be used as the basis for regulations.

One of the most dramatic examples of scientists leaving the lab to take to the streets was the March for Science on Earth Day 2017 that drew roughly a million people across the globe. “That march really ignited a sense of urgency,” said Fernando Tormos-Aponte, who is a fellow at the Union of Concerned Scientists and studies science advocacy and its repercussions.

After Trump was elected, he said, the Union of Concerned Scientists,  a non-profit founded to promote the use of rigorous science in solving the world’s most pressing problems, saw its membership swell from 17,500 in the fall of 2016 to over 21,000 by the end of 2017.  Last fall, several prominent scientific journals—including The New England Journal of Medicine, Nature, and Science—also broke with tradition and ran editorials critical of Trump.  Scientific American shocked many when it went further and gave its first ever presidential endorsement to Joe Biden, largely because it argued that Trump was such an awful alternative.

Are the newly activist scientists persuading anyone? Or in sacrificing their neutrality, are they losing legitimacy, as they feared? On that, the evidence is still very mixed. A paper published by the Cambridge University Press concluded that the 2017 March on Science  did, in fact, further polarize Americans. “Liberals’ attitudes toward scientists became more positive whereas conservatives’ attitudes became more negative,” the report concluded.

For an issue like climate change, which is already become an ideological marker of political party in the U.S., this is potentially very discouraging. But Goldman said there may be no putting the genie back in the bottle. “I think it’s part of a broader cultural shift. We’re just seeing it is harder to do science in a vacuum.”

Aponte added that the idea of scientists being free of bias was really only a myth anyway. “There is always a danger, regardless of whether we want to believe it, of bias in everything from the research questions you choose to examine, to the approaches that you adopt, to the conditions under which you work.” he said. Scientists, he said, “are becoming more comfortable with the idea that subjectivity is around us. And that we are just better off being transparent.”

Leslie Kaufman writes the Climate Report newsletter about the impact of global warming.